Policy Commentary · 2026
When the Infrastructure of Financial Inclusion Becomes the Infrastructure of Extraction
Gambling With Inclusion: How Online Betting Is Quietly Emptying the Wallets We Just Opened
Financial inclusion has focused heavily on bringing people into formal financial systems. This commentary examines the neglected outbound side of inclusion: where money goes after access, and when digital financial infrastructure can enable financial leakage rather than financial advancement.
Financial inclusion has been measured, for the most part, by the inbound side of the account: whether a person can open one, reach an agent, receive a transfer, hold a balance. Those are real achievements, and in many economies they were hard won.
What has received far less attention is the outbound side. Once money is inside the formal system, where does it go?
The inbound and outbound sides of inclusion
Inclusion policy has concentrated on entry: accounts opened, agents deployed, rails built, transactions enabled. The implicit assumption is that once money enters the formal system, it will be used in ways that improve household and enterprise position — savings, investment, working capital, resilience.
That assumption is not automatically true. The same infrastructure that moves money toward a household can move it away just as efficiently, and at far greater frequency than any cash-based arrangement allowed.
When the rails run in the other direction
Online betting is the clearest current illustration. Digital wallets, instant transfers, agent networks and always-available mobile interfaces make repeated small outflows frictionless. Scarce household resources can be diverted, in many small increments, away from savings, enterprise investment and resilience.
This is not a story about individual discipline. It is a story about what a payment system makes easy. Infrastructure designed to reduce friction reduces it in every direction, including the directions that leave households worse off.
Financial inclusion cannot be evaluated only by whether money enters the formal system.
Why this matters for the measurement question
If inclusion is assessed only at the point of entry, financial leakage of this kind is invisible in the indicators. Account ownership rises. Transaction volumes rise. Digital usage rises. Each of those is read as progress, while the underlying household or enterprise position may be unchanged or deteriorating.
A more honest account of inclusion would ask what the money does after access: whether it accumulates, whether it is deployed into productive use, whether it strengthens the capacity of a household or an enterprise to withstand a shock.
Productive inclusion as the better promise
The argument here is not against digital financial infrastructure. It is for a clearer statement of what that infrastructure is meant to deliver: work, enterprise, savings, capability, dignity and long-term advancement.
That is the shift from access, to use, to productive outcomes. It requires regulators, financial institutions and development actors to take the outbound side of inclusion as seriously as the inbound side — in supervision, in product design, and above all in what is measured and published.
The question is not whether people are inside the financial system. It is whether being inside it leaves them better placed than before.
Original policy commentary. Not externally published.
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